Fair value estimate
Is a token overvalued or undervalued? This calculator uses FDV and circulating supply to estimate fair price—so you can spot bargains and avoid overpaying for hype.
Estimated Value
Premium/Discount: %
Some tokens have launched with a circulating supply under 10% of their total max supply — meaning over 90% of the "real" valuation was still locked up and yet to hit the market at launch.
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Token valuation determines the fair market price of a cryptocurrency by analyzing supply metrics and market cap. Understanding valuation helps investors distinguish between overvalued hype tokens and genuinely undervalued projects.
Circulating supply is tokens currently available in the market. FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) multiplies total max supply by current price. Premium or discount shows if the token trades above or below fair value based on FDV.
Different methods include market cap comparison, token economics analysis, utility value assessment, and relative valuation against similar projects. No single method is perfect—use multiple approaches for better accuracy. Beware tokens with massive FDV but low circulating supply—early investors may dump later. Check unlock schedules. High premiums without strong utility justify careful due diligence before investing.
A negative premium means the token trades below fair value—potential bargain if fundamentals are sound. Positive premium means you're paying extra for hype. Always compare against similar tokens in the same sector.
Example: Say circulating supply is 1,000,000,000, FDV is $50,000,000, and current price is $0.05. Fair value = $50,000,000 ÷ 1,000,000,000 = $0.05. Premium = (($0.05 − $0.05) ÷ $0.05) × 100 = 0% — the token is trading exactly at its FDV-implied fair value.
Market cap uses circulating supply (tokens currently in the market) multiplied by price. FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) uses the total max supply instead, showing what the valuation would be if every token that will ever exist were already circulating.
A large gap between FDV and market cap means a lot of supply hasn't entered circulation yet — often held by early investors or the team. As that supply unlocks and gets sold, it can put sustained downward pressure on price, even if demand stays constant.
Not automatically. A negative premium means the token trades below this calculator's fair-value estimate, but that estimate doesn't account for utility, team credibility, unlock schedules, or market sentiment — all of which matter for a real investment decision.